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Shelly Palmer - Google's Innovator's Dilemma

Think about this: Instead of surfacing links, AI Mode delivers a full-page AI-generated response.
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Mountain View have a couple of things they're testing.

Google is in the middle of its own Innovator’s Dilemma: disrupting its $260 billion-a-year search business before someone else does. The question isn’t who will build the AI version of Google Search – the answer is obvious: Google – so our friends in Mountain View have a couple of things they're testing.

First, they will roll out AI Overviews, their search summary tool, globally in multiple languages (including English, Hindi, Japanese, Korean, and Spanish). You've probably seen it – instead of a list of links, users get AI-generated summaries at the top of their search results. Publishers and eCommerce sites hate it (AI bots don’t pay royalties, click ads, or cite every source), but users seem to like it… at least when the results are accurate.

The new-new thing is called "AI Mode." Instead of surfacing links, AI Mode delivers a full-page AI-generated response. Users can interact with the AI, ask follow-up questions, and even compare products. This mode runs on a custom Gemini 2.0 version and is currently available to Google One AI Premium subscribers. It's super interesting, but I'm not sure it's going to be the replacement for 10 blue links.

AI search is inevitable, and competitors like Perplexity and GPTSearch are rethinking the experience, but my money is still on Google. While AI Overviews and AI Mode may not even resemble what search ultimately evolves into, this is what navigating the Innovator’s Dilemma looks like. As for link-based search? We're just counting the days.

As always your thoughts and comments are both welcome and encouraged. Just reply to this email. -s

P.S. You should have access to 4.5 today. I want to know what you think of it. Also, spend a second and read the story about OpenAI saying they may charge up to $20k per month for access to their highest-level models. I think we're about to see some unexpected twists in the foundational model story. If you're a CMO, we'll discuss this in detail at the MMA CMO AI Transformation Summit (March 18, 2025 | NYC). I'm facilitating and co-producing this half-day invitation-only event which will provide insights into the strategies, technologies, and leadership practices for CMOs who are driving successful AI transformations across the world’s best marketing organizations. Request your invitation.

 

Shelly Palmer is the Professor of Advanced Media in Residence at Syracuse University’s S.I. Newhouse School of Public Communications and CEO of The Palmer Group, a consulting practice that helps Fortune 500 companies with technology, media and marketing. Named LinkedIn’s “Top Voice in Technology,” he covers tech and business for Good Day New York, is a regular commentator on CNN and writes a popular daily business blog. He's a bestselling author, and the creator of the popular, free online course, Generative AI for Execs. Follow @shellypalmer or visit shellypalmer.com

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