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Rating the Sweet 16 Cinderellas of March Madness

Another first weekend of March Madness presented plenty of story-lines and storylines to be talked about and of course tons of upsets as the underdogs continued the tradition of low seeds making noise in the NCAA Tournament.
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Another first weekend of March Madness presented plenty of story-lines and storylines to be talked about and of course tons of upsets as the underdogs continued the tradition of low seeds making noise in the NCAA Tournament.

From undefeated Wichita State losing in the second round to Kentucky to Canadian star Andrew Wiggins and powerhouse Kansas there were upset of all varieties to enjoy through the weekend.

There are plenty of teams lining up to try on Cinderella's glass slipper in the NCAA tournament's Round of 16. Some have battled their way up through the First Four play-in games while others are former national champions turning around a down year.

But which of the Sweet 16 contenders really has the best Cinderella potential to keep the upsets coming and find themselves in Arlington, Texas for the Final Four?

I am here to rate the Cinderellas and have my crystal ball in hand to tell you just how good of a chance each underdog has to be howling into the Final Four after cutting down the nets on Saturday and Sunday following the Elite Eight.

No. 7 Connecticut Huskies (East Region)

Sweet 16 Opponent: Iowa State

The Huskies earned wins over St. Joe's and former Big East rivals Villanova to punch their ticket to the Sweet 16. With Cyclones guard Georges Niang out, the Huskies could go toe-to-toe with the fifth-highest scoring team in the country.

Following that will be a tough game against either ACC champs Virginia or Big Ten champ Michigan State to get to the Final Four.

But with Napier averaging 24.5 points in the tournament and doing his best Kemba Walker impersonation, anything is possible for UConn.

Cinderella Rating: 7

No. 10 Stanford Cardinal (South Region)

Sweet 16 Opponent: Dayton

After convincing wins over New Mexico and Kansas, it will be Stanford as the favorites in its Sweet 16 meeting with Dayton, who had an equally-impressive opening week.

The winner of this game will be a heavy underdog against Florida or Pac-12 rival UCLA in the Elite Eight, so a Final Four run is unlikely at best.

The Cardinal did, however, split the season series with the Bruins before getting blasted by UCLA in the conference tournament.

Cinderella Rating: 4

No. 11 Dayton Flyers (South Region)

Sweet 16 Opponent: Stanford

The Flyers were able to pack the Syracuse zone and get easy looks inside while keeping the Orange ice cold on the perimeter in their Round of 32 upset.

Dayton faces another zone-heavy defense in Stanford, but as mentioned above, if the Flyers get past the Cardinal they have a tall task against Florida or UCLA in the region final.

Cinderella Rating: 2

No. 11 Tennessee Volunteers (Midwest Region)

Sweet 16 Opponent: Michigan

Tennessee barely made it into the tournament, needing overtime against Iowa in the First Four to advance to the second round before blowing out UMass and Mercer to earn their Sweet 16 bid.

The Volunteers take on Michigan, which got blown out by Iowa in conference play, and try to exploit the Wolverines' lack of size beyond seniors Jordan Morgan and Jon Horford.

With Wichita State out of the picture, the Midwest Final Four bid is up for grabs and the Vols look to have as good of a chance as anybody.

Tennessee could run into SEC rival Kentucky, which it lost to in conference play, or Louisville in the region final.

Either team will be worse for wear coming out of a Blue Grass battle.

Cinderella Rating: 7

No. 8 Kentucky Wildcats (Midwest Region)

Sweet 16 Opponent: Louisville

It seems strange fitting Kentucky for a glass slipper but the Wildcats have performed like a Cinderella, edging No. 1 Wichita State in upset fashion in the Round of 32. Books are treating UK as such in the Sweet 16, tabbing them as a 5-point underdog against the defending national champs.

The Wildcats already beat the Cardinals this season, using their size in the backcourt to bully Louisville point guard Russ Smith. If they can repeat that performance, they either face a Tennessee team they also have a win over or a Dayton team that may be running out of luck.

Cinderella Rating: 9

No. 6 Baylor Bears (West Region)

Sweet 16 Opponent: Wisconsin

Baylor was able to blowout a methodical Creighton team in the Round of 32 and faces a Wisconsin program that is well known for its deliberate offense.

The Badgers have picked up the pace compared to past seasons, but could have trouble with the Bears' versatility and explosiveness.

Looking past the Badgers, Baylor could tackle either Arizona or San Diego State in the regional final.

The Aztecs and Wildcats are among the top defensive teams in the country and do a good job closing out on perimeter shooters.

Baylor may not be able to find those open looks from outside needed to keep up with these top seeds.

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